Premier League Acca Guide – Part Deux!

PL_Logos_ColoursLong term followers of What Acca will know that the Premier League is a firm favourite of mine when it comes to my accumulator betting. It’s a league that I follow the most and as a result, is the league that I have the most knowledge on.

I’m a big advocate for people sticking with the leagues/sports that they know best when it comes to acca betting. Football is my bread and butter and whilst I do bet on other sports, you will see that the majority of the tips I send out and the main reason behind achieving a 104% ROI from the 2015/16 season was using this exact strategy.

You may have seen my original version of the Premier League Accumulator Betting Guide previously, but if you haven’t then it’s worth taking a look. It ties in with this article, but there are updates to that article that I wanted to add and decided a fresh article was warranted.

Best value bookmaker

If you only do one thing when you place an accumulator bet, make sure it’s betting with a bookmaker that offers you the best value for that bet.

As you will see throughout What Acca I promote a number a of bookmakers that I think are all reputable and also going to provide me with the best possible value for my bet. The industry is so competitive these days, which is great for us punters, meaning that pricing is as lucrative as it’s ever been.

I know many people like to use the same bookmaker for each bet, which is fine, but it’s not going to yield the best value for every bet you place. Now, I’m not saying you need to have a betting account with every bookmaker in the industry, but if you have 3-5 that you are comfortable betting with and happy to flick between, then this is going to make you so much more money long term than using the same one.

Below I’ve got a quick example of what I mean and why I recommend using several bookmakers in your armoury.

I’ve added in the acca tips that I have sent out for today’s lot of email subscribers below. As you can see, the discrepancy between backing with SkyBet and Betfred, two very reputable bookmakers, is massive.

Screen Shot 2016-08-10 at 17.18.10

Assuming the bet wins, a £10 bet with SkyBet is going to get you £107 more than if you backed the same bet with Betfred. That’s £107 more for just taking an extra couple of minutes to research best price before placing your bet. There is simply no excuse in my opinion!

With accumulator bets you will be see huge discrepancies in the pricing structure, as only a small change in one outcome from one bookmaker to the other could have a huge affect on the overall price.

If I had to pick just one bookmaker…

It probably won’t come as too big a surprise to hear that if I had to pick just one bookmaker then it would be bet365. These guys fit the bill so well for me and they are often the first port of call before placing my acca.

Not only do I know that the odds I’m getting will be there or thereabouts, I use the site to check a ton of data that they have – for free – on their site whilst forming my selections.

On top of that, they also have the best bonus offer in the industry as well, allowing new accounts to pick up a whopping 100% match on your opening deposit worth up to £200. I’ve already previously written why I use bet365, so I wont go into that too much here, but if you want to register an account with them, then you can do by clicking the link below.

Best Premier League markets to target

My go to market when forming my acca is that of the Win-Draw-Win market. It’s not particularly original by any means, but sometimes keeping it simple is the way to go. Heck, it allowed me to become one of the top rated acca tipsters on the net, so I can’t grumble.

Whilst the WDW market is essentially a very easy one to get your head around, it’s actually very tough to choose a result from Premier League games. The competitive nature of the Premier League means that games often throw up huge banana skins and results that you think should be nailed on, aren’t always going to follow the script.

To formulate my picks from this market I first start by skimming through the games that are taking place and also looking at the price for each match. If certain results are priced at 1.70 or lower, then I tend to avoid them for two reasons:

  • A price of 1.70 isn’t going to really add much to my acca, even when adding in multiple selections
  • Personally I think that all games in the Premier League are at worst competitive. Backing a team at 1.70 in what you think will be a competitive match just doesn’t make sense to me, but if they were nearer even money then at least there would be some value there. (Hopefully that makes sense!)

The next step for me would be to look through each teams form, both home and away, current, past and their head to head record against their opponent.

I’m looking for teams that are either in good form, strong when playing at the venue they are (i.e. home ore away) or the flip side is searching for teams that aren’t in good form and backing against them. The draw is a bet that I very rarely include, so if I think the match is going to be tight and the draw is a plausible outcome, I leave it and move on to the next game.Football form

If at this point I still think I need to verify my selection, I head on over to SoccerStats.com and try to pin together any data that can back my decision up. This might be team news, future fixtures (players could be rested for bigger games upcoming) and just generally any snippets of info I think could help me to formulate my bet.

Other markets

As I’ve highlighted already, the competitive nature of the Premier League means that the WDW market isn’t always that easy to call. If I think that this is case, which it often can be, I move on to my next 2 go-to betting markets; Both Teams to Score and Asian Handicap.

I’ve written a huge article on BTTS betting, which includes all my tips and tricks in there, so I wont go into that too much here, but I do find that this often provides much better value than a WDW bet.

The trick with BTTS betting is choosing your bets accordingly. I find that long-term form with these bets is much more relevant than say the WDW market. For example, last season Chelsea at had a BTTS percentage of 73.7%, one of the highest in any of the top flight European Leagues. West Ham had a percentage of 68.4% BTTS to score as well, an equally impressively high number. Regardless of whom they were playing, as long as they were playing at home, I knew these two teams would be viable selections.

BTTS

What I will add is that I generally don’t tend to back the BTTS NO market, for two reasons:

  • First, I don’t want an acca to be busted after 15 minutes when both teams have already scored
  • Second, I don’t want to spend the added time looking for these bets along with all the other markets and factors that I look for with each acca

The next market that I like to bet on is that of the Asian Handicap. I really love this market as it allows you to pick very short favourites to win comfortably at much more appealing odds.

For example, if Man City are going to be playing Aston Villa at home, in a game that you would expect them to win and to win well, the WDW price for City to win of 1.40 isn’t going to make anyone rich quick. But, by backing City at -1.5 goals on the Asian Handicap at odds of evens is going to be much more appealing and a result that could very easily happen given the gulf in class between the two teams.

If you want to know more about the Asian Handicap for accumulator betting, then you can check out my article here.

Games to look out for…

This section is a bit of an impossible section, but I still wanted to include it, so bear with me…

It’s an impossible section as when you’re reading this I have no idea which games are taking place at what times. So in terms of me stating which games to choose, I can’t. But, if you do want to see which Premier League bets I do include in my acca then you can sing up to my mailing list, which is completely free by the way.

Last season I sent out over 80 accumulator bets and if you have placed just a £10 bet on each of my bets throughout the season you would have made £910 profit. In terms of ROI this equates to 104%, which within the industry is insane.

In fact, looking through several tipsters tracking sites, I haven’t seen any that have amassed anywhere near this sum, let alone found anyone who gives these sorts of tips out for free!

So, if you want in, and why wouldn’t you? Simply enter your details below and you will start receiving tips out right away.

Conclusion

I wanted to wrap up this section just simply to highlight how much you can improve your Premier League accumulator bets. I often include Premier League games in my accas to run alongside that of lower league games as well. This is mainly because I like to keep a wide range of games in the mix and choosing from around 80 on a Saturday afternoon, is much easier than picking between 5-8 games.

I tend to approach the Premier League games with a fair amount of caution though and there will be weeks that I don’t include any bets from the league at all. Value can often be much harder to find here than in the lower leagues as the bookmakers have to react to much larger density of bets due to popularity.

But, Premier League games do have a place in my accumulator betting system, although I would say approach them with caution and do your research!

If you only take one thing from this article, make sure it’s the willingness to include a number of bookmakers in your portfolio to get the best odds. I see it far too often t someone backs an acca then I send out, emails me stating that I’m lying about the price I have highlighted, then to check the bookmaker that I haven’t recommended to bet with and see it’s get way less than if they bet elsewhere.

In the betting industry, there are often few things that you can 100% control, but choosing your bookmaker and getting the best possible price is one of the those things, so make sure you do!

About Jon

I've made What Acca to try and help people starting out with accumulator betting. The possibilities of these types of bets are pretty much endless, with the major attraction coming from the fact that a lot of money can be won for very little outlay. What Acca will hopefully teach you how to make more profitable accumulator bets whilst also eradicating some of the mistakes that I have made over the years.

2 comments

  1. Dear Jon,
    I tried do subscribe several times -even using both email adresses -gw10011@gmail and gw@prostaglandindevelopment.com and never recived, any Accra tops
    Can you please see to it that i will get them in future
    Thanks in advance
    Kr
    Gerd

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